Can Kamala Harris Beat Donald Trump? Latest Updates Of The Polls And Analysis Of US Election 2024

As the U.S. Presidential Election draws near in November 2024, the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump gets really intense. The recent poll landscape shows a seesaw wherein both candidates are trying to outpace each other amidst political drama, policy debates, and formidable fundraising efforts. It goes in-depth with the latest polls, key events of the past week, and a look at the financial status of the parties. Most notably providing an overview of the theoretical results that might emerge over whether Kamala Harris can beat Donald Trump in this high-stakes election.

Latest Updates of Polls

Recent polls show a very competitive Kamala Harris-Donald Trump race. Major polls aggregated as of the first week of September 2024 have Trump ahead of Harris by 3% nationally. Here is the latest data:

Polling Agency	Trump (%)	Harris (%)
Rasmussen Reports	48	45
Ipsos/Reuters	47	46
YouGov/Economist	46	44
CNN/SSRS	47	45
Average	47	45

Past Week Highlights

Everything from the Harris campaign to the Trump one has seen some major happenings pop up in the past week; these may go a long way toward affecting voter sentiment in the lead-up to the election.

Kamala Harris Rally in Michigan: Kamala Harris held one of the biggest rallies in Detroit, Michigan, this September 5th, 2024, a state that has become central in many of the upcoming battlegrounds. Her speech was laced with healthcare reform, climate action, and economic justice resonating with her base. Note to mention, she took shots at the way Trump has been dealing with foreign policy-from recent tensions with China to his position on Ukraine, being examples of his danger to global stability.
Trump’s Town Hall in Florida: The same day, Donald Trump conducted a town hall in Miami, Florida. He said his “America First” agenda would reduce inflation, cut taxes further, and “restore American greatness.” Trump pummeled the Biden-Harris Administration over what he described as “four years of failure” on issues ranging from the economy to immigration.
Debate on Ukraine-Russia Conflict: Trump suddenly pointed to his determination to negotiate personally with Russia to end the war in Ukraine if he is elected. The proposal received both accolades and criticism from various quarters, but it succeeded in creating significant debate relating to his foreign policy strategy. Harris, on her part, reiterated that the US continues to give assistance to Ukraine for strengthening the NATO alliances.
Scandals and Controversies: With several conservative media outlets laying blame for the mishandling of the border crisis at the feet of the Vice President, there were plenty of controversies swirling around Trump over his recent comments about NATO and legal battles in both New York and Georgia.

Fundraising Status of Both Parties

Next in line is the financial war chest. It’s one of the very important factors for this 2024 election race. Both campaigns have been aggressively fundraising to have what it takes to try and sway undecided voters, especially in the battleground states.

Democratic National Committee (DNC) :
The DNC, of which Kamala Harris is the charge, banked more than $150 million in the last quarter, buoyed by contributions from Silicon Valley, Hollywood, and Wall Street. In contrast, however, Harris’s campaign reported a significant amount of small-dollar donations-a healthy sign of her grassroots support.

We are not going to let Donald Trump sell out middle class families again.

Watch our latest ad: pic.twitter.com/4vsk4SzUdO
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) September 3, 2024

Republican National Committee (RNC) :
RNC, for Donald Trump’s rallies, has been outpacing the Democrats with the raising of about $200 million in the same period. The rallies of Trump are still drawing the big audiences, and his campaign has been using those events to enhance its fundraising process. Large donations have come in from sectors of real estate, oil and gas, and finance.

Comrade Kamala Harris sees there are problems for her campaign in New Hampshire because of the fact that they disrespected it in their primary and never showed up. Additionally, the cost of living in New Hampshire is through the roof, their energy bills are some of highest in the…
— Donald J. Trump Posts From His Truth Social (@TrumpDailyPosts) September 3, 2024

Can Kamala Harris Beat Donald Trump?

The question if Kamala Harris will be able to beat Donald Trump in the election campaigns of 2024 is not decided yet. While Trump leads most national polls by a hair’s breadth, Harris puts up an excellent fight in several pivotal swing states: Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The Harris campaign is pinning its hopes on high voter turnout among minorities, women, and young voters. On the other hand, the Trump campaign has stuck to its guns-running approach by appealing to its base and reclaiming blue-collar workers in the Midwest.

Factors That Could Influence the Outcome

Voter Turnout: Of particular importance to Harris is that turnout be high among African American, Hispanic, and young voters.
Debates and Public Perception: A critical moment will be the presidential debates. Any major gaffes or standout moments could seriously shift momentum one way or another.
Economic Conditions: In case of more downturns in the economy or even spikes of inflation again, that could still play to Trump’s “Make America Great Again” narrative.
Foreign Policy and International Relations: The conflict between Ukraine and Russia, tensions in the Middle East, for example, the Gaza-Israel case is likely to influence the vote due to different candidates’ proposals over these issues.

Final Words

The Kamala Harris-Donald Trump match-up is shaping up to be one of the most contentious and well-watched elections in recent U.S. history. With less than two months to go, both campaigns are leaving nothing in the tank. Over the coming weeks, much will be decided about who will be inhabiting the White House in 2024: voter turnout, campaign strategy, and outside events are likely to prove pivotal.