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As the election pace heats up, former President Donald Trump appears to gain momentum, and the question is what has given him that lead. His campaign has zeroed in on a few key points that have excited his base, while the Biden-Harris administration contends with allegations and critiques of its own that may give some electoral traction.
More than purely domestic issues, an election win by Trump could significantly affect US international relationships, the situation between Ukraine and Russia, and the Israel-Gaza conflict.
Key Campaign Points Propelling Trump’s Momentum
COMRADE KAMALA HARRIS AND BIDEN DESTROYED OUR BORDER. I WILL REBUILD IT, AND MAKE IT STRONG AGAIN!
— Donald J. Trump Posts From His Truth Social (@TrumpDailyPosts) August 30, 2024
Donald Trump Truth Social 11:52 PM EST 08/29/24 @realDonaldTrump
- America First” Policy Emphasis: The “America First” mantra voiced by Trump appeals to many voters who believe the country needs to take the lead in protecting economic and security interests. His campaign concentrates on creating jobs, slashing foreign aid, and protecting American industries from overseas competition.
- Hard-Line Immigration Policy: Trump has always been big on immigration as a factor of appeal to a large part of the electorate. This election has promised stricter border controls, more aggressive deportation policies, and finishing the wall along the border-a signature of the first term.
- Economic Revival Promises: Trump attacked the Biden-Harris administration over their economic policies on inflation, job growth, and how well they handle the aftermath of COVID-19. He insisted that his method would spur stronger economic growth, cut taxes, and develop a superior business environment.
- Attacks on “Woke” Culture and Political Correctness: Trump’s campaign has consistently attacked what he describes as “woke” culture and the influence of political correctness in American society. This resonates with many voters who believe that current social movements have gone too far and are destructive to traditional American values.
- Law and Order: Trump was framed as the candidate to restore law and order because some American cities have concerns about crime and civil unrest. He blamed local governments in Democratic-run cities for what he described as a failure to respond adequately to rising crime rates.
Allegations Against the Biden-Harris Administration


- The COVID-19 Pandemic: Trump blamed the Biden administration for poor handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. He criticized it for mishandling and over-regulating economic lockdowns. He claims there was another strategy which would have avoided declines in the economy while regulating public health concerns.
- Censorship of Social Media: Trump claims that the Biden-Harris administration pressured big social media to censor people from opposing views, especially on COVID-19 and vaccine information. This charge has gotten hot in the wake of testimonies and reports involving Big Tech CEOs.
- Foreign Policy Blunders: The hottest talking point is the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan under the Biden administration. Trump has continuously said that his administration would have done a far superior job of extracting without chaos, ensuring stability in transition and preserving America’s strategic position within the region.
- Accusations of Corruption and Nepotism: Another strong point in Trump’s campaign has been the Hunter Biden controversies and his international businesses. Trump has framed it to show that these allegations implicate President Biden in corrupt practices.
Shifts in Global Relations Possible after Trump’s Win

- U.S.-Russia Relations: Trump has a history of calling for better relations with Russia. A second term might, if anything, potentially lead to a thaw in U.S.-Russia relations, especially if Trump emphasizes negotiation over confrontation regarding the conflict in Ukraine. This would be pursued through easing of sanctions and pushing a peace settlement likely to be seen as more favorable to Russia.
- Ukraine-Russia War: Trump has taken a less interventionist line in the Ukraine-Russia war than the Biden administration. He said he might be able to negotiate an end to the conflict, though critics say that would entail too many concessions for Russia. But his victory will change the dynamics of the West’s policy toward Ukraine, which may see pressure on Kyiv to negotiate.
- Gaza-Israel Conflict: Trump’s policy in the Middle East during his first term was directed toward deals between Israel and the Arab nations, such as the Abraham Accords. In the event of a win, Trump might revert to such a course of action, aligning more closely with Israel and becoming more disengaged with Palestinian authorities. This could raise tensions in continuing conflicts like the Gaza-Israel conflict or provide a rationale for new peace deals under his administration.
- China and Trade: Trump will also remain tough on China regarding trade imbalance, intellectual property theft, and military expansion in the South China Sea. It would mean that in the second term, the tariffs are reimposed, a trade war is happening, and American industries actively decouple from Chinese supply chains.
- NATO and Allies: Trump has castigated NATO allies for what he perceives as meager contributions to the collective defense. A second term might see a resumption of demands that Europe spends more on defense or sees American support readjusted-a development that would have wider ramifications on the balance of global power.
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Geopolitical Impact and Concerns about the Future A Trump victory would signal a policy change for America, both foreign and domestic, that may have global repercussions. Friends and enemies alike would need to adapt to a U.S. foreign policy playing field that is far less predictable.
How much re-escalation might occur in any given conflict, how economic priorities readjust, and which international alliances would shift depends upon how Trump decided to use his influence in a second term. This could also lead to dividing an already divided America further on many domestic grounds.
With Trump continuing to use his populist appeal and campaign points strategically, although the future of politics after this election is uncertain, there is one thing that can be said for sure: a Trump presidency would bring with it much change and controversy at home and abroad.
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