Presidential Polls : Who is ahead in Polls till mid August ? All the big updates you should know for US election 2024

trump vs harris 2024 polls

As the 2024 US Presidential Election draws closer, the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is tightening. With Joe Biden withdrawing from the race, both candidates are ramping up their campaigns, garnering endorsements from various influential figures.

The 2024 US presidential election is gearing up to be a thrilling contest between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. As the first Indo-American and Afro-American presidential nominee, Kamala Harris is making history. Whereas Other side Donald Trump is campaigning aggressively and also making history with online presence.

US Election 2024 is just one and half month away, So let’s check the polls to know who ahead as of mid August 2024.

Polling Data

Kamala Harris holds a slight edge over Donald Trump in the national polls. As of mid-August 2024, Harris leads by an average of 1.6% according to data from The Hill and Decision Desk HQ, with Harris at 48.1% and Trump at 46.5%. Other sources like FiveThirtyEight show Harris with a 2.7-point lead over Trump, suggesting a stable margin since she announced Tim Walz as her running mate.

In key battleground states, the competition remains fierce. For instance, Harris leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by about 4 points, reflecting a shift from Biden’s performance in these swing states. Conversely, Trump has a narrow lead in traditionally Republican-leaning states like Georgia and North Carolina, where he is ahead by 3 points.

Presidential Polls

Endorsements and Campaign Dynamics

Both candidates have received significant endorsements that have boosted their campaigns. Kamala Harris has been endorsed by several prominent Democratic figures and social activists, which has helped solidify her base. On the other hand, Trump continues to enjoy strong support from key Republican figures and conservative groups.

Harris has made notable gains among non-college-educated white voters, a demographic that heavily favored Trump in 2016 and 2020. Additionally, she is performing well with young voters, female voters, and Black voters, among whom she has a substantial lead. Trump’s core support remains strong among male voters, the 45-64 age group, and white voters without a college education.

Campaign Strategies and Fundraising

Harris’s campaign has focused on building a broad coalition, emphasizing unity and progressive policies. Her choice of Tim Walz as her running mate has been strategic, aiming to appeal to both progressive and moderate Democrats. She has also been active in swing states, where her campaign events have drawn significant attention.

Trump’s campaign, meanwhile, continues to emphasize his “America First” policies, aiming to mobilize his base with a strong message on immigration, the economy, and national security. His vice-presidential pick, JD Vance, is intended to solidify his support among the Republican base and appeal to working-class voters.

Fundraising has been robust for both candidates, with Harris and Trump raising substantial amounts from both small donors and large contributors. This financial backing has allowed both campaigns to flood key states with advertisements and organize large-scale rallies.

Electoral Map and Predictions

The electoral map remains fluid, with several states categorized as toss-ups. States with margins less than 5% are particularly volatile and could swing either way as the election approaches. According to the latest interactive electoral map by 270toWin, the race is tight in many of these key states, with both campaigns focusing heavily on voter turnout efforts.

While polls are a snapshot of the current public opinion, they indicate that the race between Harris and Trump is highly competitive. With less than three months until the election, both campaigns are expected to intensify their efforts to sway undecided voters and solidify their bases.

As the election date nears, it will be crucial to watch the developments in battleground states and the effectiveness of each campaign’s strategy in addressing the key issues that matter most to voters.


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